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Author Topic: What are the goals of ID theorizing?
Tom Stalnaker
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Icon 5 posted 28. February 2002 14:54      Profile for Tom Stalnaker   Email Tom Stalnaker   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
I'm interested in framing a question for the ID community, but I don't want to violate the rules by asking a question that may be construed as a criticism. So... please delete me if this is a criticism.
My basic question is: Is the goal of ID theorizing mainly to mount a criticism of evolutionary theory, or is it to propose an alternative? My own relatively uninformed opinion is that the design inference in itself does not constitute an alternative. It may lead you to an alternative causal account of the appearance of the various life-forms, but in itself its just an indirect piece of evidence suggesting the need for such an account. In the things that I've read about ID there seems to be some conceptual mix of criticizing evolutionary theory and seeming to propose an alternative, such that in the end its not clear which is which.
So, my more direct question is, do people who take these ideas seriously conceive of a causally coherent alternative to evolutionary theory eventually coming out of this work, and if so, what possible form might it take? I am slightly aware that Dembski has at least tried to address this question, but I was more generally curious about how the "common ID man" (or woman ) thinks about this issue. I think its quite important to be clear about this, because it gets at questions of falsifiability. I am in agreement that evolutionary theory seems not to be falsifiable, but is ID theory also not falsifiable (or perhaps, not intended to be falsifiable)?

[ 28 February 2002: Message edited by: Tom Stalnaker ]


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Columbo
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Icon 12 posted 28. February 2002 19:23      Profile for Columbo   Email Columbo   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Hi Tom,

As I consider myself a common run-of-the-mill, even amateur, ID theorist, I’ll venture a response (before the moderator gets at us!?). If we allow Thomas Kuhn’s paradigms to stand as a good way of thinking about the concepts of Darwinism and Intelligent Design, then what I have to say will make more sense. (By the way, I’m not willing to accept (whether Kuhn thought so or not) the idea that no paradigm actually “gets at” objective reality. I think that science does often get closer to the truth, though not without sometimes prolonged “retrograde motion.”)

Others have pointed out that new paradigms don’t always completely eradicate those they replace. Oxygen theory probably did eradicate phlogiston theory, but relativity did not eliminate Newtonian mechanics. The present case of ID v Darwinism seems to me to resemble the latter, in that ID would not replace Darwinism, but would serve to define the boundaries within which it operates. Just as relativity transcends Newtonian mechanics for very large velocities and masses, so ID transcends Darwinism for innovations in morphologies.

Now to your question regarding a positive definition of ID. I see ID as an expansion of the philosophy of science from the present naturalistic frame of reference, to one which accepts intelligent agency as a given in the universe. It is directly a question of scientific philosophy, and indirectly a question of methodology. The Chemist Michael Polanyi turned his attention from chemistry to philosophy in order to combat the notion of naturalistic reductionism both because of the harm that the latter did to the culture, and because of the harm it did to science. Although I’m no expert on his writings, it seems to me that he sought to correct the erroneous notions of physicalism, because it missed the important point that intelligent agency could only be discounted at great peril to the future of science and community. (Witness the horrors of 20th century totalitarianism!)

What you seem to be seeking is some kind of positive identification of the Agent to replace the positive identification of the “blind watchmaker” (Variation and Natural Selection.) But Variation and Natural Selection are not being replaced, and what’s more, it is not necessary to identify the designer of life. It would be like asking a forensic scientist to identify a killer before he could justify his craft, or an archeologist to identify the people responsible for the artifacts she exhibits before we allow that archeology is a legitimate science. All that ID theory is asserting is that the history of biological development properly fits into the class of sciences that use Dembski’s explanatory filter to investigate informational sources and structures. Its evidence, experiments, and theories all relate to materials and events in the past. Even if we saw some kind of novel structure appear in a new generation of fruit flies after radiating their parents, we could not say in a deductive fashion that such an event proved that every biological structure in nature came about that way. The whole notion stands on a long string of extremely low probability events, so that there would not be even the possibility that such an experiment could be consistently reproduced. (Remember the cold fusion confusion?) All that could be said is that an extremely rare event lent some support to the notion that chance processes are in fact able to jump across some breadth of probability ravines to generate new complexities. (Of course, no such thing has yet happened.)

Hey, I’m running at the keyboard. Let me know what you think.

Columbo


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Tom Stalnaker
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Icon 1 posted 28. February 2002 20:30      Profile for Tom Stalnaker   Email Tom Stalnaker   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
I really appreciate the sincere reply Columbo; I fully expected to be zapped by now
quote:
and what’s more, it is not necessary to identify the designer of life. It would be like asking a forensic scientist to identify a killer before he could justify his craft, or an archeologist to identify the people responsible for the artifacts she exhibits before we allow that archeology is a legitimate science.

I just wanted to focus on that point that you made, quoted above. My understanding is that Dembski's application of the design inference to _life_ draws its inspiration (and its legitimacy) from the design inference that we apply every day to non-life. However, in the case of inferring design from non-living objects, we do not normally (especially in science) stop at the design inference itself. Suppose that someone found what looked like tools, and these were dated to a period and place in which no known humans were thought to exist. Coming across this piece of data, we, as scientists, would not be satisfied to stop there. We would seek some independent evidence that humans existed in that period and place, such as fossilized bones. If we searched and searched, and no evidence of humans was forthcoming, we might conclude that some mistake might have been made in our design inference -- perhaps we mis-calculated the probability of those apparent tools being made by natural processes. I can't imagine a case in which we would consider our design inference itself a scientific hypothesis. So, by analogy, we should feel scientifically dissatisfied until we have proposed some coherent theory regarding how the CSI was instilled in life. My thought on archeology is that it is considered a legitimate science because it consists of design inferences _combined_ with hypotheses about the causal trails that explain the artifacts that archeologists find. From my very limited point of view, even if no coherent theory of how CSI came to be in life has been proposed (and for all I know there have been some), it would at least be helpful if people would outline what form a possible hypothesis might take. Given that there can be mistakes in the calculation of probability that leads to a design inference, I would regard a design inference as nothing more than a call for further investigation, rather than a finished product. I realize that in proposing hypotheses of these kind, you would make ID theory far more vulnerable to falsification than evolutionary theory seems to be, but wouldn't that be a good thing?

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Columbo
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Icon 1 posted 28. February 2002 21:18      Profile for Columbo   Email Columbo   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
quote:
Originally posted by Tom Stalnaker:

Hello again Tom:
Good comments. Please allow me to discuss a couple of them... [I'll bracket my comments.]

You wrote:

Suppose that someone found what looked like tools, and these were dated to a period and place in which no known humans were thought to exist. Coming across this piece of data, we, as scientists, would not be satisfied to stop there. We would seek some independent evidence that humans existed in that period and place, such as fossilized bones. If we searched and searched, and no evidence of humans was forthcoming, we might conclude that some mistake might have been made in our design inference -- perhaps we mis-calculated the probability of those apparent tools being made by natural processes.

[If there is amibiguity as to the identity of the artifacts, then there will be ambiguity as to the origin. If the artifact has the complexity and specifity of a turbine engine, then it might be more difficult to dismiss it as caused by chance or law. Other explanations might suggest themselves, such as: visitors from another place, removal of other evidence, etc.]

I can't imagine a case in which we would consider our design inference itself a scientific hypothesis.

[It seems to me that notion of the existence of intelligent agents is a necessary condition in forensics, archeology and the rest. Why not biology?]

So, by analogy, we should feel scientifically dissatisfied until we have proposed some coherent theory regarding how the CSI was instilled in life.

How something was accomplished is not a defeater in science. There are mysterious artifacts all over the place. Two that come to mind are the stone statues on Easter Island, and the circular scars in the skulls of some Egytian skeletons. Further, the ID project does not restrict or discourage the search for the identity or methods of the intelligent agent responsible for life. I think that Francis Crick and Carl Sagan would have looked in outer space for such beings.]


From my very limited point of view, even if no coherent theory of how CSI came to be in life has been proposed (and for all I know there have been some), it would at least be helpful if people would outline what form a possible hypothesis might take.

[This would be difficult until a discovery was made about the agents responsible; their ways, abilities, and thoughts.]

Look forward to your reply.

Columbo

p.s. I posted a paper in the archive. Have you seen it?




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Icon 1 posted 28. February 2002 21:21      Profile for Moderator   Email Moderator   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Tom, I won't zap you as long as a productive discussion regarding complex systems is taking place. At this point I feel that there is potential for this thread (notice that this a wholly subjective analysis and I'm not ashamed of it in the least!) It seems to me that the thesis behind this thread can be summarized as follows:

"A properly formed theory of ID would include some coherent theory regarding how the CSI was instilled in life. A design inference only takes us so far and leaves our scientific curiosity wanting. I feel that a design inference should be a call for further investigation, rather than a finished product."

As a note, I think you will find Mike Gene's thread called "The Utility of IC" informative regarding the potential of "ID theorizing."


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William A. Dembski
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Icon 1 posted 28. February 2002 22:25      Profile for William A. Dembski   Email William A. Dembski   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Tom Stalnaker writes:

"[The design inference] may lead you to an alternative causal account of the appearance of the various life-forms, but in itself its just an indirect piece of evidence suggesting the need for such an account."

AND

"I would regard a design inference as nothing more than a call for further investigation, rather than a finished product."

AND

"We should feel scientifically dissatisfied until we have proposed some coherent theory regarding how the CSI was instilled in life."

In other words, we need to be able to provide a chain of natural causation for how CSI became expressed in the object of interest. But this is precisely what the design inference is saying is not possible, at least with regard to the origin of CSI. At best a chain of natural causation will re-express already present CSI. I argue this at great length in NFL and I encourage Tom to read it, especially the third and sixth chapter.

Tom is doing science the old way, in which nature constitutes an unbroken nexus of natural causes. This is inconsistent with an information-theoretic conception of nature, and it is precisely such a conception to which ID is committed. Note that information theory cannot be reduced to chains of natural causes. As naturalistic a philosopher as Fred Dretske agrees. Writing in _Knowledge and the Flow of Information_, he remarks:

"It may seem as though the transmission of information ... is a process that depends on the causal inter-relatedness of source and receiver. The way one gets a message from s to r is by initiating a sequence of events at s that culminates in a corresponding sequence at r. In abstract terms, the message is borne from s and r by a causal process which determines what happens at r in terms of what happens at s. The flow of information may, and in most familiar instances obviously does, depend on underlying causal processes. Nevertheless, the information relationships between s and r must be distinguished from the system of causal relationships existing between these points."

The point is that those information relationships can exist and be objectively identifiable even if there is no causal chain (in Tom's sense) that connects the two.


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Cre8ionist
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Icon 1 posted 01. March 2002 07:57      Profile for Cre8ionist   Email Cre8ionist   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
quote:

I can't imagine a case in which we
would consider our design inference itself a scientific hypothesis.

It seems to me that we're missing something here.
When intelligent design is detected, it is supporting evidence for the existence of an intelligent designer. If SETI detects an intelligently sent message from space, it is supporting evidence for the hypothesis that there is life elswhere in the universe. The hypothetical message is not the hypothesis, the hypothesis is that there is life out there besides us. Likewise,
a design inference in nature, is a message that there is an intelligent designer out there, besides us. So then the hypothesis is that there is an intelligent designer who has input into nature, the supporting evidence, the design inference...........................Cre8


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Tom Stalnaker
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Icon 1 posted 01. March 2002 13:05      Profile for Tom Stalnaker   Email Tom Stalnaker   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
I really appreciate all of your responses. (Its hardly imaginable that a multiply published author has responded to my somewhat uninformed posts. I will buy NFL, but as of now, I'm waiting for the paperback. Also, I read your paper (quickly) Columbo. Nice job, thanks for pointing it out to me.)
Just as a preface, I am not in any way a committed ID critic, nor committed to strict naturalism. I, more than most people I know, would love to see a paradigm shift from scientific materialism. What I seek, then, is a way that I can imagine an alternative. One of the things the Scientific Revolution was predicated on was an elimination of God and supernatural forces from an understanding of the world; I would argue that this was not some nefarious antireligious plot, but rather was necessary because it was
(and is) not clear how God could interact with the world in a well-defined, investigable way. It is not surprising that scientists will (as they should, I believe) defend this hard-won elimination. Until, of course, theistic interaction with the physical world _can_ be shown to be well defined and investigable.
I am beginning to understand Bill Dembski's way of approaching this, and it's very interesting and exciting for me. However, there still seems to me to be a strange reticence regarding natural causation in his approach (as if he doesn't want to get into that -- too messy). I understand that information transfer can be studied independently of physical causation, but just because it can be studied independently doesn't mean that it is _metaphysically_ independent. Dretske says "The flow of information may, and in most familiar instances obviously does, depend on underlying causal processes." So, what and where is the evidence of these mysterious 'unfamiliar' cases of information transfer not depending on causal processes? When we follow a causal trail backward, my intuition tells me, we will always find either a causal agent or else our own ignorance of what the causal agent is. And I understand that if you follow CSI backwards, you will only find (at best) more CSI. So, my question is, what will happen to physical causation at the point at which CSI disappears (which is presumably the point at which the non-embodied designer intervened)? This may be very difficult to determine in practice, and I am sympathetic to that difficulty, but you (ID theorists collectively) must have some ideas about what one _would_ see at this point, if one were there to see it. Why don't you make those ideas concrete and explicit?
Just a brief example. Colombo mentions (somewhere I think) that morphological adaptations might be something that ID explains better than evolutionary theory. So, suppose you could follow the physico-causal (along with the CSI) path backwards to the source of a morphological adaptation. Presumably, you would go back, progenitor to progenitor, until suddenly, in a single generation, you would see (going backwards) the disappearance of the morphology. The offspring would have it and the parent would not. Presumably also, the offspring would have all the correct genes in the correct places to produce the new morphology, and the parent would not have those genes. If you looked closer, you would see the exact moment, perhaps during formation of the offspring's genetic material, that each mutation happened (and there would have to be many many that happened in quite a short space of time). Is this a legitimate description of the kind of thing that ID theorists are (might be?) committed to? If so, do you think it would ever be practically possible to observe such a thing happening? If you could document that, I guarantee that you would get some positive attention (not to mention a heck of a lot of money ).
I'll leave it at that, even though I haven't addressed everything I wanted to respond to. Thanks again to everyone for informing me.

[ 01 March 2002: Message edited by: Tom Stalnaker ]

[ 01 March 2002: Message edited by: Tom Stalnaker ]


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Tom Stalnaker
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Icon 1 posted 01. March 2002 14:38      Profile for Tom Stalnaker   Email Tom Stalnaker   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Hello again (is this allowed, two responses in a row? Well, I guess I'll find out if that omnipresent Moderator reappears -- am I the only one who thinks the moderator might be Dembski? They seem to have different personalities though. )
I just wanted to respond to Colombo and Cre8. It seems that both of you are arguing that a design inference regarding life is in fact a hypothesis of sorts, and that I am suggesting that it is not a complete hypothesis. Please understand that my reasoning on this comes completely out of an analogy with design inferences made about objects (and therefore may be limited). Thus when Cre8 says that the design inference _is_ supporting evidence for an intelligent designer, I whole-heartedly agree. My point is that the design inference is normally a first step. When the SETI researchers discover a pattern that is CSI, don't you think there will be an immense amount of theorizing about where the signal comes from, how we might send a signal back (even though that might be impossible, given the large distance), and what sort of creatures might be at the source? And all of this theorizing, if it were done by scientists as opposed to science fiction writers and others, would be based on the evidence. In other words, it wouldn't be akin to theological speculations on the nature of God (and I'm not denigrating those -- I've done quite a few myself). Scientific theorizing (and perhaps, as Dembski says, I'm still doing it the old-fashioned way) attempts to fill out a theory to complete our understanding of the phenomenon at hand. Of course, there is always more to understand (i.e. its never truly complete especially in cosmological matters), but we always are pushing towards filling it out.
Columbo makes a good point that I hadn't explicitly thought about: "How something was accomplished is not a defeater in science." On the other hand, I'm sure that the people who study those statues on Easter Island have some hypotheses or scientifically legitimate speculations about how they might have gotten there (beyond just, "by an unknown intelligent agent at an unknown time through an unknown means for an unknown purpose").
So, in short, I am not arguing or even remotely suggesting that the design inference applied to life is worthless in and of itself. And I am not arguing that the ID community needs to come up with a unified physical theory of how God (or somesuch designer) might interact with the world. I only think that ID practitioners have probably thought, at least to themselves, about how such interactions might take place, and I am curious about what their take is, and how one might investigate and test such things further. Thanks again for helping me out with your replies; I've learned a lot so far.

[ 01 March 2002: Message edited by: Tom Stalnaker ]


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Columbo
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Icon 1 posted 01. March 2002 17:55      Profile for Columbo   Email Columbo   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Hello again Tom. You raise interesting points. Here's my thoughts:

quote:
Originally posted by Tom Stalnaker:

I, more than most people I know, would love to see a paradigm shift from scientific materialism. What I seek, then, is a way that I can imagine an alternative. One of the things the Scientific Revolution was predicated on was an elimination of God and supernatural forces from an understanding of the world; I would argue that this was not some nefarious antireligious plot, but rather was necessary because it was (and is) not clear how God could interact with the world in a well-defined, investigable way.

[I think the ID project is specifically framed so that the question of authorship is left open. In this way, information theory can be utilized without necessarily attaching theological presuppositions. Note that materialists can continue to search for alternative explanaitons outside of ID hypotheses, and theists are free to discuss the harmony of scientific findings with their understanding of theology, ontology and epistemology. "No one gets hurt!"]

It is not surprising that scientists will (as they should, I believe) defend this hard-won elimination.

[Yes, as long as the defense is a scientific, or philosophic one. When either side resorts to indefensible tactics, things go from bad to worse. (That's the beauty of this forum, wouldn't you say? - Thanks to our vigilant Moderator!)]

Until, of course, theistic interaction with the physical world _can_ be shown to be well defined and investigable.

[As I said, investigation in any direction is open: materialistic and theistic. Of course, the theistic search will not be done in a science laboratory. And for theists, this would define the limitations of science. If this troubles you, consider the acknowledged limitation of science to define the cause of the 'Big Bang.' We can get to some rather large negative exponent of time, but not a negative time!]

I am beginning to understand Bill Dembski's way of approaching this, and it's very interesting and exciting for me. However, there still seems to me to be a strange reticence regarding natural causation in his approach (as if he doesn't want to get into that -- too messy).

[I'll let Bill Dembski speak to your perception of reticence on his part. As I see it, CSI cannot be the result of intelligent agency AND 'nature,' unless you except the metaphysical presupposition of naturalism. (I.e. that mind emerges from brain.] I can't fault anyone for not accepting this notion; I don't accept it myself. Read Polanyi, J.P. Moreland and William Lane Craig to see why.]

I understand that information transfer can be studied independently of physical causation, but just because it can be studied independently doesn't mean that it is _metaphysically_ independent.

[Physical causation is not metaphysical. It's physical. Metaphysics comes into it when you interpret the data. Nevertheless, information theory acknowledges that the source of transmitted code is an intelligent agent. Preservation of the information is necessary so that the 'message' is not corrupted. But a message is a mental object. (See the string: "Signal agreement, and the role of information in the organization of complex systems" for more on information theory and thermodynamics.)]

Dretske says "The flow of information may, and in most familiar instances obviously does, depend on underlying causal processes." So, what and where is the evidence of these mysterious 'unfamiliar' cases of information transfer not depending on causal processes?

[Be careful not to confuse causes of the "flow of information" with the information itself. When I send this reply, there will be a chain of cause and effect from computer to computer. The information came from my mind. It rides on the physical world, but it is not physical. It is a message. The actual path is arbitrary, so long as there is one.]

When we follow a causal trail backward, my intuition tells me, we will always find either a causal agent or else our own ignorance of what the causal agent is. And I understand that if you follow CSI backwards, you will only find (at best) more CSI.

[Not more CSI, (unless that is what my mind is made of), but an agent, yes.]

So, my question is, what will happen to physical causation at the point at which CSI disappears (which is presumably the point at which the non-embodied designer intervened)? This may be very difficult to determine in practice, and I am sympathetic to that difficulty, but you (ID theorists collectively) must have some ideas about what one _would_ see at this point, if one were there to see it. Why don't you make those ideas concrete and explicit?

[What your looking for is a description of someone's fingertips; God's, an alien's or whatever. Again, no one is suggesting a wall to prevent investigations into physical agency. But there should not be a wall to prevent theological implications from staring at you in the face, if that is where science leads you. Otherwise you are ruling such a result, a priori, out of court. If so, why?]


If you want more on the metaphysical arguments associated with the rationality of thinking that God can act in the physical world, see "In Defense of Miracles" by Geivett and Habermas (IVP 1997)

As always, I look forward to your reply.

Columbo

[ 01 March 2002: Message edited by: Columbo ]


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Tom Stalnaker
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Icon 1 posted 03. March 2002 14:11      Profile for Tom Stalnaker   Email Tom Stalnaker   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
This thread seems to be dying a slow death, Columbo, although I will point out that another thread is now discussing a very similar issue in what to me is an exciting way (maybe we should switch to that one): ISCID thread

I just wanted to make a few last points before the thread gives it final death cry. I very much agree with Columbo that "When either side resorts to indefensible tactics, things go from bad to worse." I'm getting to feel some affection for the Moderator now, because he/she seems pretty fair.

When Columbo says "Be careful not to confuse causes of the 'flow of information' with the information itself ... The actual path is arbitrary, so long as there is one." Oh, I totally agree. My question is whether there are cases in which information flows _without any causal link_. In Dembski's post, he alluded to such cases, and so did Dretske in the quoted passage. But I am unable to conceive of such a case. In other words, information passed between two points, and no matter how you disrupted the connections between those two points, the information transfer was not disrupted. If such cases are not possible, then it follows that you can always follow information transfer backwards in time, by following the physical medium that it is riding on. Information analysis, as Dembski does, is therefore a useful mode of analysis, but does not replace physico-causal analyses in conjunction with it.

Also Columbo writes:

quote:
What your looking for is a description of someone's fingertips; God's, an alien's or whatever. Again, no one is suggesting a wall to prevent investigations into physical agency. But there should not be a wall to prevent theological implications from staring at you in the face, if that is where science leads you. Otherwise you are ruling such a result, a priori, out of court. If so,why?

I am definitely looking for God's fingertips. That is, I'd like to know if one can see them scientifically. Just as an aside, I actually am convinced that God exists, and that God interacts with the world, but I am not convinced that such interactions can be studied scientifically. I've been probing to see if I can get an ID theorist to tell me how one might be able to get closer (scientifically) to the actual point of interaction. So far as I have gotten, I've understood that ID theorists believe that "some intelligence interacted with the world at some point", but cannot currently go beyond that (and I'm not knocking that, I am just seeking a more filled out picture).

Anyway, good talking with you Columbo.


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Dene Bebbington
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Icon 1 posted 05. March 2002 14:18      Profile for Dene Bebbington   Email Dene Bebbington   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
quote:
Originally posted by William A. Dembski:
Tom Stalnaker writes:

"[The design inference] may lead you to an alternative causal account of the appearance of the various life-forms, but in itself its just an indirect piece of evidence suggesting the need for such an account."

AND

"I would regard a design inference as nothing more than a call for further investigation, rather than a finished product."

AND

"We should feel scientifically dissatisfied until we have proposed some coherent theory regarding how the CSI was instilled in life."

In other words, we need to be able to provide a chain of natural causation for how CSI became expressed in the object of interest. But this is precisely what the design inference is saying is not possible, at least with regard to the origin of CSI. At best a chain of natural causation will re-express already present CSI. I argue this at great length in NFL and I encourage Tom to read it, especially the third and sixth chapter.
[..]

This implies that in the brains of known intelligent designers (eg. humans) there is some non-natural causation at work. Could William Dembski please explain where the CSI generated by humans originates if not by a chain of natural causation?

--
Dene

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