Probabilities of randomly assembling a primitive cell on Earth

by Dermott J. Mullan

Abstract—We evaluate the probability Pr that the RNA of the first cell was assembled randomly in the time available (1.11 billion years [b.y.]). To do this calculation, we first set a strict upper limit on the number of chemical reactions nr which could have occurred before the first cell appeared.

The full paper is available below:
Probabilities of randomly assembling a primitive cell on Earth

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